Thursday, July 14, 2011

Emmy Predictions 2011

Well the Primetime Emmy nominations are just hours away and I have last-minute predictions for all of you! When the nominations are announced at 5:35 Pacific Time (8:35 Eastern Time), I'll have an updated list with the actual contenders and we'll see the accuracy of my guessing. If I'm completely off-base on every nomination, we'll know there's something wrong with Emmy voters... Not me of course.

The actual nominees are listed under my predictions. If I got a prediction wrong, the name will be crossed out and added next to the previous name. My predictions of winners will take place closer a week before the Emmy's televised date which is September 18th.

Best Comedy Series
1. 30 Rock
2. Modern Family
3. The Office
4. Glee
5. Parks and Recreation
6. Nurse Jackie The Big Bang Theory
Dream Nominees: If only Community could get the recognition it deserves but with its shutout last year, it seems unlikely even with the show putting a hilarious and sweet sophomore season. Another fantastic show that may lose out on a spot is The Big Bang Theory even though its main star is sure to get nominated.

           -I'm so pleased to be wrong about this fifth spot. While Edie Falco's performance on Nurse Jackie is definitely worth a nomination, the show is not. It's so wonderful to see five of the best shows on television actually be recognized. I would say six normally, but this season of Glee was so disappointing, I would have much preferred its spot to be given to the far superior Community or Cougartown.  

Best Actor: Comedy
1. Steve Carell, The Office
2. Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
3. Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
4. Joel McHale, Community Johnny Galecki, The Big Bang Theory
5. Matthew Morrison, Glee Louis CK, Louie
6. Matt LeBlanc, Episodes
Dream Nominees: Louis CK will be egregiously snubbed again this year even though his performance on his FX self-titled show is pretty much brilliant.

          -It looks like I missed two from this list. I am incredibly happy that there is finally some love for Louie CK for his amazing show, Louie and rounding out the list is another Big Bang Theory cast member, Johnny Galecki. I'm not ecstatic about Galecki's nomination, I would've preferred Joel McHale get that honor for Community's stellar second season but hopefully he will get his due soon.

Best Actress: Comedy
1. Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
2. Tina Fey, 30 Rock
3. Toni Collette, The United States of Tara Melissa McCarthy, Mike and Molly
4. Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
5. Martha Plimpton, Raising Hope
6. Laura Linney, The Big C
Dream Nominees: Courtney Cox one of my dream nominees even though I want Amy Poehler to win. Cox, as many know, was the only Friends cast member that was never nominated in the show's 10-year history and her wonderful turn as Jules Cobb on Cougartown deserves recognition. Another dream nominee is the underrated Kaley Cuoco from The Big Bang Theory.

          -I was able to get all but one correct on this list. I missed Melissa McCarthy from Mike and Molly. Though this is not my favorite role, McCarthy deserves make-up nominations for her amazing performances on both Gilmore Girls and Samantha Who?.

Best Supporting Actor: Comedy
1. Neil Patrick Harris, How I Met Your Mother Jon Cryer, Two and a Half Men
2. Chris Colfer, Glee
3. Ty Burrell, Modern Family
4. Ed O'Neill, Modern Family
5. Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family
6. Jesse Tyler Ferguson, Modern Family
Dream Nominees: Pretty much all of the other Parks and Recreation men deserve nominations here. Adam Scott and Chris Pratt turned out funny and adorably sweet performances and Nick Offerman's iconic brawny-man Ron Swanson is the the perfect foil for Poehler's sweet, annoyingly-optimistic Leslie Knoppe. Another dream contender is the amazing Danny Pudi for his multi-dimensional portrayal of Abed on Community.

           -My biggest fear has come to fruition. I was dreading the possibility that Two and a Half Men's Jon Cryer would make this list, sullying it and taking away from it's beautiful, high-class standing created by the men of Modern Family. But it happened. And I believe it only happened because Cryer is getting rewarded for having to deal with the Charlie Sheen debacle. Isn't getting Charlie Sheen off the show enough? Cryer over Neil Patrick Harris by the way, is another heinous crime that's just too painful to talk about. This was, by far, one of the best if not the best season for Harris' womanizer with a heart, Barney Stinson.

Best Supporting Actress: Comedy
1. Jane Krakowski, 30 Rock
2. Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
3. Julie Bowen, Modern Family
4. Jane Lynch, Glee
5. Betty White, Hot in Cleveland
6. Kristen Wiig, Saturday Night Live
Dream Nominees: Alison Brie's adorable performance on Community is nomination-worthy, as is Busy Phillip's hilarious, dim-witted but surprisingly sweet Laurie on Cougartown. Phillips getting a nomination would probably be the best news for me but since I forsee a complete Cougartown shutdown, there's no way this will happen. It would also tickle me to see Aubrey Plaza's dry, witty portrayal of April from Parks and Recreation get some admiration.

           -Considering how upset I still am about Jon Cryer making the supporting actor list, it's nice to see that I got 5 out of 5 on this one!!

Best Guest Actor: Comedy
1.  John Lithgow, How I Met Your Mother Zach Galifinakis, Saturday Night Live
2. John Slattery, 30 Rock Will Arnett, 30 Rock
3. Justin Timberlake, Saturday Night Live
4. Matt Damon, 30 Rock
5. Idris Elba, The Big C
6. Nathan Lane, Modern Family

Best Guest Actress: Comedy 
1. Gwyneth Paltrow, Glee
2. Cloris Leachman, Raising Hope
3. Elaine Stritch, 30 Rock Elizabeth Banks, 30 Rock
4. Tina Fey, Saturday Night Live
5. Megan Mullaly, Parks and Recreation Dot-Marie Jones, Glee
6. Kristin Chenowith, Glee

           -I was really hoping the nominations I had for this category would be right because I didn't want to go on a rant about Megan Mullaly's egregious omission from the list. I think Dot-Marie Jones added some great vulnerability to Glee this season but Mullaly's uncompromisingly hilarious performance is comedy GOLD. I don't understand why shows like Glee don't have their own Dramedy category; it's truly frustrating.

Best Drama Series
1. Mad Men
2. The Good Wife
3. Friday Night Lights
4. Dexter
5. Boardwalk Empire
6. Justified Game of Thrones
Dream Nominees: Friday Night Lights is my dream nominee here. It is one of the most realistic,  emotionally honest dramas ever put on television in my opinion. The fact that its never been nominated for a Best Drama nomination before is almost unforgivable, unless it gets nominated this year and wins. But for shows not already on the list, I think this season of Fringe has been excellent as well as the first season of the HBO show Game of Thrones and AMC shows The Killing and The Walking Dead.

          -With nominations for Timothy Olyphant AND supporting actress and actor Margo Martindale and Walton Goggins, I was a truly surprised that FX's Justified was not nominated. My second choice would have been The Killing, but HBO's reign continues with it's new runaway hit Game of Thrones getting the coveted last spot.

Best Actor: Drama
1. Jon Hamm, Mad Men
2. Michael C. Hall, Dexter
3. Kyle Chandler, Friday Night Lights
4. Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
5. William H. Macy, Shameless Hugh Laurie, House
6. Timothy Olyphant, Justified
Dream Nominees: Continuing my open love for Friday Night Lights, my dream nominee is fairly safe to get a nomination this year. Kyle Chandler's portrayal of Coach Taylor on the DirecTV (previously NBC) show has been one of the best performances for the 5 years this show has been on television. Also, if Peter Krause could get nominated for his superb job on NBC's Parenthood, all would be right with the world.

          -Looks like Hugh Laurie still has enough pull with Emmy voters to snag a nomination away from the always great William H. Macy, despite an especially disappointing season of House.

Best Actress: Drama
1. Julianna Marguiles, The Good Wife
2. Elizabeth Moss, Mad Men
3. Connie Britton, Friday Night Lights
4. Kyra Sedgwick, The Closer Mireille Enos, The Killing
5. Katey Sagal, Sons of Anarchy Kathy Bates, Harry's Law
6. Mariska Hargitay, Law and Order: SVU
Dream Nominees: Connie Britton should have won last year, in my opinion. No offense to Kyra Sedgwick, but Britton's portrayal of Tami Taylor is better than most anything I've seen on television this year or last. Glenn Close's Patty Hewes from the FX show Damages has not lost any strength in the last few years. Her nomination would be a dream. As would the nominations of Mireille Enos from AMC's The Killing, Anna Torv's maturing work on Fox's Fringe and Lauren Graham's performance on Parenthood.

           -Looks like one of my dreams came true! AMC's surprisingly good new show, The Killing gets a win with its lead Mireille Enos getting some well-deserved recognition. The other nominee is not so well-deserved in my opinion. While I enjoy her performance on Harry's Law, Kathy Bates is not better than Katey Sagal. That was definitely another mistake by Emmy voters.

Best Supporting Actor: Drama
1. Alan Cumming, The Good Wife
2. Andre Braugher, Men of a Certain Age
3. Walton Goggins, Justified
4. Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
5. Michael Pitt, Boardwalk Empire Josh Charles, The Good Wife
6. John Slattery, Mad Men
Dream Nominees: I would love to see both Michael Shannon from HBO's Boardwalk Empire and Josh Charles from CBS' The Good Wife get nominations. But alas, Charles may not have gotten enough meat in the show this year for voters while Shannon's performance might be too subtle to get noticed. My dreams come true would be to see True Blood's Denis O'Hare get a nomination for his villainous turn as the psychotic Russell Edgington and Fringe's John Noble for showing us so many different and demanding portrayals of one man.

          -Poor Michael Pitt. Though I believe he is good enough to score a nomination for his work on Boardwalk Empire, it looks like Josh Charles has finally snagged his WAY overdue nomination. Josh, consider this redemption for not getting rewarded for your great performance on Sports Night. And of course for another great portrayal on The Good Wife.

Best Supporting Actress: Drama
1. Archie Panjabi, The Good Wife
2. Christine Baranski, The Good Wife
3. Margo Martindale, Justified
4. Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
5. Michelle Forbes, The Killing
6. Kelly Macdonald, Boardwalk Empire
Dream Nominees: Khandi Alexander from HBO's Treme and Regina King from TNT's Southland deserve as many accolades as they can carry but the shows are too under-the-radar for the Emmy people to notice or care. It's really too bad.

           -5 out of 5! This is the second supporting actress list I've gotten right! And all are well-deserved nominations this year. 

Best Guest Actor: Drama
1. Jonny Lee Miller, Dexter Paul McCrane, Harry's Law
2. Michael J. Fox, The Good Wife
3. Michael Emmerson, Parenthood Jeremy Davies, Justified
4. Jeremy Irons, Law and Order: SVU Beau Bridges, Brothers and Sisters
5. Robert Morse, Mad Men
6. Bruce Dern, Big Love

Best Guest Actress: Drama
1. Julia Stiles, Dexter
2. Shohreh Aghdashloo, Law & Order: SVU Loretta Devine, Grey's Anatomy
3. Ellen Burnstyn, Big Love Mary McDonnell, The Closer
4. Joan Cusack, Shameless
5. Debra Messing, Law & Order: SVU Alfre Woodard, True Blood
6. Gretchen Mol, Boardwalk Empire Cara Buono, Mad Men
7. I didn't know there could be SEVEN Randee Heller, Mad Men

           -I just have to comment on how badly I did with the guest actor and actress in Drama. Who knew you could have seven nominees? And who knew the Emmy voters would pick people who were barely on the episode for which they're nominated like Alfre Woodard? Also, another Harry's Law nomination? Really? And over Jonny Lee Miller's brilliantly evil Jordan Chase on this season's Dexter? No Emmy voters, just no.

Best Miniseries or TV Movie
1. Mildred Pierce
2. Sherlock: A Study in Pink The Kennedys
3. Too Big to Fail
4. Downtown Abbey
5. Carlos Pillars of the Earth
6. Cinema Verite

Best Actor: Miniseries or TV Movie
1. Idris Elba, Luther
2. Edgar Ramirez, Carlos
3. William Hurt, Too Big to Fail
4. Laurence Fishburne, Thurgood
5. Benedict Cumberbatch, Sherlock: A Study of Pink Greg Kinnear, The Kennedys
6. NONE Barry Pepper, The Kennedy

          - I wasn't going to say anything about these nominations if I could help it but I believe a grave mistake has been made. Benedict Cumberbatch gave the most intellectual performances of the year with his modern-day take on Sherlock Holmes in Sherlock: A Study of Pink. His absence from this list is an error that should have never been made. I won't even talk about howthe fact that Martin Freeman's emotionally damaged John Watson not making the Supporting Actor list is a crime.

Best Actress: Miniseries or TV Movie
1. Kate Winslet, Mildred Pierce
2. Diane Lane, Cinema Verite
3. Hayley Atwell, The Pillars of the Earth Taraji P. Henson, Taken from Me: The Tiffany Rubin Story
4. Jean Marsh, Upstairs Downstairs
5. Elizabeth McGovern, Downtown Abbey

Best Supporting Actor: Miniseries or TV Movie
1. James Gandolfini, Cinema Verite Tom Wilkinson, The Kennedys
2. Guy Pearce, Mildred Pierce
3. Paul Giamatti, Too Big to Fail
4. Martin Freeman, Sherlock: A Study of Pink James Woods, Too Big to Fail
5. Tim Robbins, Cinema Verite Brian F. O'Byrne, Mildred Pierce

Best Supporting Actress: Miniseries or TV Movie
1. Maggie Smith, Downtown Abbey
2. Evan Rachel Wood, Mildred Pierce
3. Melissa Leo, Mildred Pierce
4. Eileen Atkins, Downtown Abbey
5. Cynthia Nixon, Too Big to Fail Mare Winningham, Mildred Pierce

So here they are my dears, your Emmy nominations. Some extremely well-earned (Louis CK, Timothy Olyphant, Kyle Chandler, Connie Britton), some really wrong choices (Jon Cryer, the absence of Sherlock the miniseries).

The summary of nominations: Mad Men, Modern Family, Boardwalk Empire and Mildred Pierce cleaned out this year. As usual, HBO is the winner of the most nominations of any network with a total of 104. CBS was a distant second with 50. The Good Wife also dominated with almost all of their major actors getting nominated.

Glee's Jane Lynch is hosting the awards this year. Let's see if she and the winners are worthy.

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