Wednesday, January 9, 2013

Updated: Oscar Predictions Assessment- AKA What I Got Wrong

Well as per usual, the Oscar nominations were as most reporters call a "mixed bag." I call it a clusterf*** of emotions. Some nods were obvious (as in Lincoln getting nominated for literally everything) and some were completely infuriating (let's get to that). Excuse any written outburst you see, it's all still a bit tender.

Best Picture:
1. Zero Dark Thirty
2.  Lincoln
3. Les Misérables
4. Argo
5. Beasts of the Southern Wild
6. Silver Linings Playbook
7. Life of Pi
8. Django Unchained
9. Moonrise Kingdom
10. Amour

The Academy went with 9 again this year which is no real surprise. And the list is pretty much the most predictable list ever created. Some pundits thought Skyfall might make it at the last second but as much as I enjoyed that film, there was no way a Bond movie/big budget flick like that would register with the Academy. Have we all forgotten the tough snub for The Dark Knight? And that was a much better film.

Best Director:
1. Kathryn Bigelow: Zero Dark Thirty David O. Russell: Silver Linings Playbook
2. Steven Spielberg: Lincoln
3. Ben Affleck: Argo Michael Haneke- Amour
4. Tom Hooper: Les Miserables Ben Zeitlin- Beasts of the Southern Wild
5. Ang Lee: Life of Pi

WOW. I don't know where to start. Oh wait, yes I do. HUGE snubs for Kathryn Bigelow and Ben Affleck. I know, I know, Bigelow has won it before. Fine. But what does Affleck have to do to get a Director nod? I call conspiracy here!

On a positive note: Glad to see David O. Russell score a nom for Silver Linings Playbook. Great director, great movie.

Best Actor: 
1. Daniel Day-Lewis: Lincoln
2. Bradley Cooper: Silver Linings Playbook
3. Joaquin Phoenix: The Master
4. Hugh Jackman: Les Miserables
5. Denzel Washington: Flight

5 for 5! Awesome but take too much credit. This one was obvious. Even the Joaquin Phoenix "surprise".

Best Actress: 
1. Jessica Chastain: Zero Dark Thirty
2. Jennifer Lawrence: Silver Linings Playbook
3. Emmanuelle Riva: Amour
4. Rachel Weisz: The Deep Blue Sea Quvenzhane Wallis- Beasts of the Southern Wild
5. Naomi Watts: The Impossible

I'm actually glad to be wrong in snubbing Wallis on my list. That little girl was incredible in Beasts of the Souther Wild. I feel like a complete failure. What did I achieve at 9 years old? I could read at a 12-year-old level. That's about it.

Best Supporting Actor:
1. Alan Arkin: Argo
2. Robert De Niro: Silver Linings Playbook
3. Phillip Seymour Hoffman: The Master
4. Tommy Lee Jones: Lincoln
5. Christoph Waltz: Django Unchained

Another 5 of 5 for another fairly obvious field.

Best Supporting Actress: 
1. Anne Hathaway: Les Miserables
2. Amy Adams: The Master
3. Sally Field: Lincoln
4. Helen Hunt: The Sessions
5. Ann Dowd: Compliance Jacki Weaver- Silver Linings Playbook

I'm trading in one surprise nomination for another. Glad to see such a great cast all get nods here. That's not only a testament to them but to David O. Russell for writing a great script and directing his cast to glory.

Best Original Screenplay: 
1. Mark Boal: Zero Dark Thirty
2. Paul Thomas Anderson: The Master Michael Haneke: Amour
3. Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola: Moonrise Kingdom
4. Quentin Tarantino: Django Unchained
5. Rian Johnson: Looper John Gatins: Flight

Michael Haneke's nomination is no real surprise but I was really hoping the Academy would take a leap and give some recognition to the brilliant Looper script by Johnson. It was definitely one of the most inventive movies of the year and it gets nothing. This is a real disappointment.

Best Adapted Screenplay: 
1. Chris Terrio: Argo
2. Tony Kushner: Lincoln
3. Stephen Chbosky: Perks of Being a Wallflower David Magee: Life of Pi
4. David O. Russell: Silver Linings Playbook
5. Lucy Alibar & Ben Zeitlin: Beasts of the Southern Wild

Another obvious alternative here. Chbosky was a bit of an uncertainty since the movie wasn't a huge success. Magee did a commendable job adapting subject matter that could be really tough for the screen.

Best Animated Feature:
1. Wreck-It Ralph
2. Brave
3. Paranorman
4. Frankenweenie
*ADDITION* 5. Pirates! Band of Misfits

Wasn't sure if the Academy would go for a full 5 here. But glad they went with the absurd yet adorable Pirates! over Rise of the Guardians.

Best Original Score: 
1. Dan Romer & Ben Zeitlin: Beasts of the Southern Wild
2. Johnny Greenwood: The Master Thomas Newman: Skyfall
3. Mychael Danna: Life of Pi
4. John Williams: Lincoln
5. Alexandre Desplat: Argo

Wow. The Academy either really doesn't like Paul Thomas Anderson movies or just really hates Radiohead. Poor Johnny Greenwood. I personally love his movie scores.

The Oscars will air on February 24th. And if the Oscar nominations were any prediction for the actual event, Seth MacFarlane will do just fine. As long as he brings some of his irreverent Family Guy humor (with a little extra class), that'll go Pig. That'll do.

Anyone else have any big beefs with the Academy? Do you agree that the Academy would nominate Steven Spielberg for awards even if he remade Pootie Tang? Are you one of the weirdos who's upset that Matthew McConaughy didn't get nominated for basically just taking off his shirt (as per usual) and terribly singing a song in Magic Mike? Seriously was that a serious bid for a nomination? Anyway, explain in the comments section!! Can't wait to be more annoyed by the eventual winners with all of you! 

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